54

Why Belgium-Turkey Is All About Chelsea

 

On Friday,  June 3rd, Belgium play Turkey in Brussels. There’s a lot at stake in this game.

 

Oh sure, Turkey’s Euro qualification depends upon it. But that’s not we care about. Much more important to us is that Chelsea’s future may also be riding on the outcome of the match.

 

Two key people will be in the stadium that day, people seen as vital to Chelsea’s growth and aspirations.

 

The first we all know about. He’s Guus Hiddink, Turkey’s manager. Hiddink is proud of never having broken a contract. If Turkey wins, they might yet qualify for the Euro 2012 finals. In 2010 Hiddink signed a 2-year contract with Turkey.  So as long as Turkey are alive in the Euro, Guus will be by the Bosphorus.

 

But what if Turkey lose to Belgium? Ah, that’s the scenario that has the rumor mill churning away full time. The chattering classes claim that if les Belges derail Turkey, Guus will be ditched. And guess who’s supposedly waiting in the tunnel to offer him his next job? His #1 fan, Roman Abramovich. Despite Guus’ failures with the Russian and (presumably) Turkish national teams, Roman’s crush on him is undying. Love is forever, right?

 

So the identity of Chelsea’s future manager (or sporting director) depends on the outcome of next Friday’s match.

 

The other key figure at the Roi Baudouin Stadium is Belgium striker Romelu Lukaku. The 18 year-old has been courted by Chelsea for going on two years, now. He’s big, he’s strong and he reminds people of Didier Drogba. He also scores a bit: this season he has 20 goals in 49 matches in all competitions for his club, Anderlecht.  Plus 2 goals in 9 matches for his country.

 

And that’s where the rumors are flying again. It’s said that after the Turkey match Lukaku will be sold to Chelsea. The price tag will be in the area of £20 million. Now, bear in mind that the source for this rumor is the Daily Mail, a newspaper more interested in headlines than facts.

 

Nevertheless, if you’re a Chelsea supporter with time on his hands next Friday, you could do worse than watch the Belgium-Turkey match. It could be a sneak peek  at Chelsea’s future.

 

 

29

Will David Luiz Play Right Back Against Manchester United?

 

**This blog entry was written under the assumption that when Branislav Ivanovic earned his 10th yellow card of the season on Sunday, he would be suspended for the next match. But as reader Rara has observed, no suspensions are given if the 10th card comes after the second Sunday in April. Thank you Rara! Read on, it’s still a good column!**

Sunday is the biggest match in Chelsea’s season.

Winning the European Cup was always a long shot. The two powerhouses in Spain seem likely to overpower anyone in the final.

But as I presciently noted back in January, the current weakness in the Premier League means that a record-low points total might win the title this season. Chelsea always had a chance as long as they stayed within sniffing distance. In this case, sniffing distance was a whopping 15 points!

Sunday at Old Trafford is Ground Zero. Goal differential is currently identical. With a win Chelsea will draw on even points and pull ahead on goal difference. Then a win at Everton (not easy) and a win home to Newcastle (doable) and the title could be theirs, as long as United don’t go on a mad scoring spree.

But there’s a problem. A massive problem.

On this winning streak, David Luiz has played at center-back and Branislav Ivanovic at right back. It’s been a great combination. Ivanovic has brought desperately needed stability at right back. He’s a staunch defender and a capable winger.

But Ivanovic has 10 yellow cards and is out.

So Carlo Ancelotti has a choice. And, frankly, a test of his courage.

He could take the safe path and play either Paulo Ferreira or Jose Bosingwa. They were the regulars for much of the season. So Carlo’s comfort level would be high. But neither man is the answer at right back. Ferreira often looks lost on defense. And Bosingwa’s speed is negated by his awful crossing and sometimes shaky defense.

There is another path open to Ancelotti. A risky path. A path un-taken. Ever.

He could play David Luiz at right back and move Alex into the middle. Alex is a known quantity and feels like a safe selection.

However, to our knowledge Luiz has never played right back as a professional. At Benfica he was a left back. But he has a strong right foot. He knows how to tackle. He’s quick. He’s willing.

And Chelsea have a full week of practice to get him used to a new role.

There’s a philosophical question involved here. In the biggest match of your season, do you take a chance? Do you put a player in an unfamiliar role and risk a disastrous mistake because it’s all so new to him? Might he make positional errors and let a man or a ball through?

In the chaos of a road game, with your season on the line, with intensity dialed-up to 11, do you really take this kind of a chance?

As fans, we have nothing to lose. I suspect we all want to see Luiz at right back. But as the manager, Carlo has a lot to lose. If he selects Luiz and it backfires, Ancelotti will get no credit and a world of blame.

To me, Ancelotti has a big decision. But you know what? It’s entirely possible that he doesn’t think he has a decision at all. He’ll select one of his normal right backs and sleep easy.

Would you?

 

Should David Luiz Start at Right Back vs. Manchester united?

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**Here’s what the FA Regulations say about 10 yellow cards late in the season:

(iii) A Player who has already been subject to disciplinary action as a result of receiving five cautions and then proceeds to receive a further five cautions during the same Season, will be subject to the following punishments: -

(iv) If a Player accumulates ten cautions in FTCM between the opening day of the Playing Season and the second Sunday of April in the same Season, he will be suspended automatically for a period covering:- Two First Team matches

(v) If a Player accumulates ten cautions in FTCM between the opening day of the Playing Season and the last day of the same Season, he will be: – “Severely Censured and Warned as to his future Conduct”**

 

 

22

Chelsea 2-1 Spurs | Luck, Be a Blue

“Hold your head high, stick your chest out. You can make it. It gets dark sometimes, but morning comes. Keep hope alive.”
Jesse Jackson

Sometimes the old things are the best things.

All this talk of squad change this, Torres that and Romelu Lukaku the other.

But when the storm clouds were gathering, when the sun was setting, when the light was dimming for the last time on Chelsea’s season, it was the old guard who held the torch high, it was tried-and true Blues who found the path, it was Chelsea’s honored veterans who won the game.

Here’s the passing sequence for winning goal with just 2 minutes left in regulation time. Read it and relish a trip down the memory lane of the most wonderful decade in Chelsea’s history.

Terry-Anelka-Lampard-Drogba-Kalou.

Terry, who had yet another outstanding match. Anelka, scorned, banished to the bench and perhaps on his way out. Lampard, having one of his best matches of the season, strong and lucky and firing canon shots at the goal. Drogba, simply sensational yet again, fighting for his future. And Kalou, the man who thinks he’s earned a starting role and who refused to smile when he scored the winning goal.

Honored veterans every one of them. Leading the way when all seemed lost. Holding a light high and saying ‘Follow me!”

This is the way the world ends
This is the way the world ends
This is the way the world ends
Not with a bang but a whimper.
TS Eliot

In order to have light, you must also have dark.

And for a sickening spell it looked like Chelsea’s season was lost. Whimpering in a fog of lost passes and broken down attacks as time was expiring.

Indeed, Tottenham are well within their rights to claim they were cheated of a victory that might have kept their Champions League hopes alive.

Frank Lampard’s goal wasn’t a goal. 9 months late, he finally got a goal-line call to go his way. Gomes has now bungled two balls in  month and his confidence must be lower than a snake’s belly.

Solomon Kalou was offside for the winning score.

“Anyone who understands football will know that we need to have TV replays, yet this debate has been going on for years and the powers that be just won’t help the officials,” said Harry Redknapp.

Only Spurs’ goal was the genuine article, a fabulous blast from 30 yards by holding midfielder Sandro. Boss Redknapp wasn’t amused, immediately pulling the Brazilian over to remind him he had no business straying so far forward.

That’s uncharacteristic of the attack-minded Redknapp and a sign of how much was riding on this result. Indeed, for long stretches of the second half Spurs kept 10  men behind the ball.

With Chelsea reluctant to freely deploy their fullbacks in the face of Aaron Lennon and Gareth Bale, their play became narrow. Attacks foundered repeatedly in a pile of bodies at the top of Tottenham’s box.

Ancelotti threw Ramires, Kalou and Anelka at the problem and finally got his breakthrough.

Among those pulled was a peeved Fernando Torres. Peeved, because he was actually having a decent game. Perhaps not quick enough yet. Perhaps not deft enough yet. But close and getting closer.

In the Great Experiment, Carlo played a 4-3-3 with Drogba-Torres-Malouda up front and it actually seemed to work.

Whether or not Carlo believes it worked well enough to try again, we’ll find out on Sunday.

Do not go gentle into that good night,
Old age should burn and rage at close of day;
Rage, rage against the dying of the light.
Dylan Thomas

And so there it is. As these words are written we don’t yet know the result of Arsenal-Manchester United.

But Chelsea are already mentally gearing up for one more titanic clash at Old Trafford.

The Blues trail the Red Devils by a scant 3 points. Who’d have thought that was possible back in February, when the gap was a yawning chasm of 15?

Accusations that this squad had quit never rang true. And so it has proved. With good health has come good results. The fight never left these men. The luck did. And now it’s back, thanks in large part to two assistant referees.

But Chelsea will also remember a clear penalty not given.

Alex Ferguson was in attendance. He left with 15 minutes to go. He felt he’d seen all he wanted to see.

But he didn’t see all he needed to see.  He didn’t see the heart that refuses to stop beating. He didn’t see new life in old legs. He didn’t see proud Chelsea veterans who are not ready to go quietly into that good night.

72

Where Would You Play David Luiz?

It’s been an eventful 3 months for Chelsea’s newest darling, David Luiz.

Since coming to Stamford Bridge he’s won two massive games with his scoring. His goal against Manchester United made him an instant terrace favorite. Fans had sprouted Sideshow Bob wigs by the time he repeated the deed against Manchester City.

There’s a lot to love about David Luiz as a central defender.

He has good size and strength; excellent speed and agility; he’s nimble on his feet; he heads the ball well. He’s extremely aggressive. He plays hard. He’s an attacking threat.

And he could help extended John Terry’s career. With his ability to cover ground, Terry’s lack of pace is protected.

Sounds great.

So why were Benfica playing him at left back?

It may be that David Luiz’s temperament and judgment aren’t well suited to being the last line of defense.

His first instinct when confronted with the ball is to charge at it. He likes to body-up against his man and poke a toe at the ball. He doesn’t instinctively fall back and maintain his position between the ball and his goal.

This natural aggressiveness has already been a problem. Too often he allows the man and the ball to get behind him.

His poor challenge at midfield on a John Walters breakaway at Stoke City cost Chelsea a goal. Against West Bromwich Albion he shared the blame for a goal. Rather than falling back, he stepped into the middle of a Morrison to Thomas movement up the middle and missed the ball. Odemwingie was released behind the defense and scored.

And he’s a bit of a monster at giving away penalties. In just 9 games he’s already conceded two, against Fulham and Birmingham City. Both were sloppy, unnecessary, over-aggressive challenges.

See the pattern here?

That’s probably why Luiz wasn’t a center-back for Benfica. What we’re seeing in England matches the scouting report we got from Portugal.

This is who David Luiz is, the good and the bad.

Given that central defense isn’t a place where you can afford mistakes, it seems reasonable to ask the question that was asked and answered at the Estadio da Luz: should Luiz play a position other than center-back?
Let’s consider the options. Left back is locked-up by Ashley Cole. But Chelsea have a problem at right back. Luiz has a pretty decent right foot, as Manchester United can attest. Perhaps Ivanovic can move back to his preferred role in the center of the defense, where he’s been a rock. And Chelsea can exploit Luiz’s speed and skill by putting him at right back. He certainly has the pace to take on defenders.

Or he could move up the pitch a bit as a holding midfielder. make a mistake there and it isn’t as costly as at the back. And his attacking flair could add a dimension to the position that neither Mikel nor Essien have been able to muster this season.

So let’s put the question to you.

Given his strengths and his weaknesses, where would you play David Luiz?

 

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98

Chelsea 3-1 Birmingham City : What Might Have Been and How It All Went Wrong

This is the way it was supposed to be.

Chelsea suffocating and demoralizing.  The central defense oppressive. The midfield unruffled and in control. The fullbacks daring.

And the Golden Boot, Didier Drogba, terrorizing his enemy into submission.

For reasons we’ll get into, the promise of Chelsea’s season was dashed by the reality.

But for a day we could dream of what might have been.

Ancelotti fielded Chelsea’s favorite 4-3-3. An “old school” midfield of Lampard, Essien and Mikel. A frontline that blended old with new, Kalou getting a start with Malouda and Drogba.

And backing them up, a massively powerful bench waiting to fill in the holes. Anelka and Torres to score. Benayoun and Zhirkov to support the attack. Ivanovic to defend and a youngster ready for some experience.

Just like in our pre-season dreams, it all went perfectly. Drogba was once again the Man of the Match, fearsomely strong, quick and daring. In the 3rd minute his backward head flick sent the ball to Malouda at the far post, who only had to push it in for Chelsea’s first goal. John Terry began the move with a beautiful cross pass to find Ferriera.

Then the profligate Kalou stunned everyone with a brilliant individual display, running the ball across the top of the box then unleashing an unstoppable shot into Foster’s bottom left corner.

Later, with the game comfortably in control,  a youngster is blooded and plays well, just as Chelsea’s brass had planned when they assembled this squad last summer. In this case it was left back Ryan Bertrand, in for Ashley Cole, who lofted a pinpoint pass to find Malouda in between two defenders, a simple header giving the Frenchman his second score.

David Luiz made the kind of silly over-aggressive play that is beginning to define his defending, to concede a penalty.

But other than that blip, this was how Chelsea’s season was supposed to be. A comfortable 3-1 win and everyone happy.

With such promise, how did it all go so horribly wrong? Carlo Ancelotti answered that question on Tuesday.

“I don’t think the squad was good enough this year.”

The plan for this season, a plan Ancelotti says he supported, was to replace old players with young ones and gradually give them playing time. It was assumed that the veterans would be strong enough to carry the load while the kids learned on the job.

But as we’ve found out, that was a wildly optimistic plan. Injuries, age and illness exposed Chelsea’s squad as thin and inexperienced.

Ancelotti again:

“But at the start of the season we couldn’t have envisaged having very important players all out at the same time.”

“We struggled to manage this – without Lampard, Drogba, Essien, Terry, Alex. It was very difficult to move on without these kind of players – not just their technical qualities but their personality and character. We missed them in November and December when we didn’t play well. I think it cost us quite a few points. Before the ‘difficult moment’ we’d used our younger players, like [Gaël] Kakuta and [Daniel] Sturridge.

“We’d done it gradually but it was harder to put the responsibility on them when the difficult moment came.”

Perhaps the signature game of the “difficult moment” was the shocking 3-0 home loss to Sunderland in November.

Who could Ancelotti turn to for help when his starters struggled? Let’s look at Chelsea’s bench for that match: Sala, Bruma, Kakuta, Van Aanholt, McEachran, Turnbull and Kalou.

A bunch of inexperienced kids and Kalou.  Not exactly as strong as Wednesday’s bench of Torres, Anelka, Zhirkov, Ivanovic  and Benayoun.

That, ladies and gentleman, is the story of Chelsea’s season.

The midfield has been a mess. Lampard just isn’t the same player. He’s been slow and off form since his injury and I think he’s too old to ever be the player he was just a season ago. Ramires is the best midfielder but he’s a runner/tackler, not a creator. There’s nobody in the midfield to run things. Hard to believe this, but journeyman Yossi Benayoun’s season-long injury was a huge blow.

Midfield/attack is also a problem. Malouda went off the boil a couple of months into the season. Without Zhirkov (injured) he played too many games. He’s 30 years old and can’t do that. Drogba’s malaria visibly sapped his strength and speed. Only in the last 2 weeks does he seem to have recovered. Torres needs a full off-season to recover both mentally and physically from the last 18 months. He should never have played in the World Cup.

The result is that Chelsea have had no finishing for most of the season. Kalou is the very definition of a wasteful player. And they blundered with Sturridge. He came to life in a reserve match on January 6th but Carlo never gave him a chance in a Premier League match and eventually loaned him out. Huge mistake.

The defense has been good. But there’s no right back. Ferreira is just awful. Bosinga has only slowly recovered from a long-term knee injury and he was never a star anyway. At left back Ashley Cole has played almost every single match and is completely worn down. Center-back has been a strength. Terry’s actually had a good season since coming back from his back injury. Ivanovic, Alex (when available) and Luiz have been pretty good.

But I look to personnel management last summer as the real problem. For depth, they placed ridiculous expectations on young players like Bruma, van Aanholt, Kakuta and McEachran. The squad is old, thin, injury-prone and suffering from World Cup exhaustion.

None of this is lost on the players themselves. Since recovering his health Drogba is playing like a man possessed — and like a man at risk of losing his job. Florent Malouda just gave himself a mohawk, possibly an emotional response to his precarious status for next season.

This has been a season of turmoil for Chelsea.

And yet there’s still a glimmer of hope. 5 games to go and 6 points behind.

Hope. A tease. Just enough to tempt a fan into wondering what might have been.