Pre-season, Premier League - Written by BlueChampion on Sunday, June 3, 2007 1:01 | 1,998 Views | 6 Comments | Add Comment

Frank Lampard - Better Than 401 Premiership Players!

In a year when Chelsea won the FA Cup and Carling Cup, broke the bank on international stars, and saw Didier Drogba excel all season long to win the Golden Boot, there was one member of the XI that was measurably better than the rest. At least, that’s what a recent study using a multi-variate Poisson log normal model found.

Lamps_Barca.jpg

The London Times ran an article that detailed the findings in that study. The study involved rating every player in the Premiership, from 1 to 403. To borrow the explanation from the Times:

Dr Ian Graham and Dr Henry Stott used the model to allow us to identify the relationship between goals scored and every kick of the ball made by every player for every club. Once this was done, they simulated the league season over and over again, removing players one by one and replacing them with an average player in his position. This allowed them to see whether a player added or subtracted points from his team compared to an average replacement. The best player this season would be the one who added the most points.

Predictably, the best player in the EPL was found to be Cristiano Ronaldo (apparently flopping was factored). It was the man who stood behind him at second that was something of a surprise to some of the pundits who had mercilessly ridden him this season. Frank Lampard, the gunning midfielder of Chelsea Football Club, was found to add 16.24 points to the value of his team. This ranking put Lamps 2 points ahead of Petr Cech (#2 CFC, #4 overall) and makes him nearly twice the value of Ricard Carvalho (#3 CFC, #15 overall).

What is of note is that this study does not, and surely cannot, purport to analyze skill or talent. What the study does do flawlessly is analyze the contribution a player made to his club this year. Goals, assists, indeed, every touch of the ball are analyzed by computer before being tallied to determine how much the player would help, or hinder, the average squad.

This lends itself to a great deal of argument. Think Steven Gerrard is a better player than Frank Lampard? (Gerrard #80, 3.12, Lampard #2, 16.24). You can make the argument that Gerrard is possessed of the greater skill and ability but you cannot make the argument that did more for his team this year. This system will help analyze the manner in which players are used as well. Perhaps the mismanagement of the talent of Gerrard by Rafa Benitez is what so crippled the Scousers in the Premiership this year. With numbers it can certainly be argued that Gerrard prowling the right wing is not an idea worth indulging.

Beyond the 16.24 point boost in the standings he would contribute to the average team, the most notable number next to Lampard’s name is the one denoting the fact that he spent 97.31% of Chelsea’s match-minutes on the pitch, nearly 15% again as much as were contributed by the only man who beat him out in the rankings. In fact, discounting keepers, none of the 25 most valuable players in the EPL played as many minutes as did Lampard. One must travel all the way to 34th on the list to find an outfield player who logged more pitch time, and only seven players in the entire Premeirship can make such a claim.

None of these seven players, however, logged those minutes with the same effectiveness as Lamps did. Taken as an aggregrate, those players would contribute a mere four-tenths of a point to the cause of an average squad. Even with the three negative tallies removed (thanks for your time, Olof Mellberg, Lee Carsley, and Liam Rosenior), the four positive numbers sum up to 13.21 points, still more than three points behind Lampard’s solo contribution.

More than just the greatness of Lampard, the study spoke to the ability of Jose Mourinho to craft a team from a variety of disparate pieces. Only Wayne Bridge (188, -0.27), Lassana Diarra (195, -0.45), Paulo Ferreira (205, -0.62), Hilario (276, -2.06), and Geremi (290, -2.47) failed to make a positive impact on the Premiership this year. Only one other team, the eventual champions, could boast fewer players who made a negative contribution.

And so, as the transfer window approaches, remember that the one player that can most help Chelsea already wears the Blue.

This post was contributed by Blue Winner



6 Comments

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1. Maysam



Jun 4, 2007 @ 1:07

I watched England - Brazil last night, and I am versy sorry for British fans, I am really sorry for them , what a shame! that these big players are playing for those people. I really changed me stance about English soccer fans.

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2. trublu



Jun 4, 2007 @ 11:53

lampard has always been an undersung hero. i dont know why people see him as inferior to the other contemporary midfield greats. may be, if he joins barca, then all will hail him as a genius and we will drool over him (like real madrid did / does to eto).

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3. danski blue!



Jun 6, 2007 @ 16:55

Sorry for lack of video blue champ but due to my home pc being riddled with viruses (thanks to my Brother) im unable to put compilation together as of yet! i have net access at work but i cant download, and fellow fans in the office have praised your site!
will get to work on it the second my tower is up and running.
regards dan

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4. Transfer News - Malouda | Alex | Drogba | Robben | Lampard | Blue Champions - Chelsea Fan Blog



Jul 1, 2007 @ 22:33

[...] BBC reports (understands) that Lampard has rejected a new contract offered by Chelsea. Apparently the new contract would have made him the top earner in the Chelsea team, even more than Ballack & Shevchenko. Super Frank is still the darling of the crowds, so a vast majority of Chelsea fans would see this as bad news, if it’s truly news. Frank is a tough minded hard working player with a direct approach to his game. To some extent he even personifies the Chelsea game - very straight forward, not too flambuoyant, gets the job done, would give his all in any part of the pitch. Last season we were missing our creative players such as Joe Cole, Robben, Ballack and Sheva, either because of injury or poor form. During their absence, Lampard’s limitations were very glaring but still he ended with 21 goals, 21 assists, 9 aids (and 6 woodworks too). That means he has played a part in 51 goals out of the 117 goals Chelsea scored this season. I’d never doubt his influence. With Robben, Joe Cole, Malouda and a probable in-form Sheva and Ballack around, we cannot afford to miss Lampard’s services. I’m sure he wants to stay and all I can is that hope he signs a new contract soon. [...]

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5. Anonymous



Jul 6, 2007 @ 18:51

No one really need a sooth sayer to tell him that Franky is a class act both in the prem and on International duty. Any more doubting thomas should go check his records. There are really stunning records but typical of The Great Lampard.

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6. Hamodi



Aug 16, 2007 @ 6:45

Frank Lampard /The Only One

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